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2026 World Cup: Ghana holds 6.8% chance to make quarters; 0.2% to lift title- Opta

Yaw Adjei-Mintah by Yaw Adjei-Mintah
June 5, 2026
Reading Time: 1 min read
Caleb Yirenkyi celebrates after scoring goal against Wales Photo Courtesy: GFA

Caleb Yirenkyi celebrates after scoring goal against Wales Photo Courtesy: GFA

Sports data platform Opta has released predictions for nations competing in the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the tournament inches towards the June 11 commencement date. (Scroll down to view full list)

48 nations will compete in the tournament including Ghana with this year’s event being the Black Stars’ fifth appearance.

However, Ghana holds the lowest ranking among the 10 African nations (73rd in the world) competing in the tournament. Ghana will compete at the group stage against England, Croatia and Panama.

Per statistical projections from Opta, the five time African Champions also have a very low probability of making a deep run in the tournament with the platform giving the Black Stars a 6.8% chance of making it to the quarterfinals. The odds lower further as Ghana has just a 0.7% chance of reaching the final and a 0.2%chance of winning the trophy.

Carlos Queiroz Photo Courtesy: Black Stars

Carlos Queiroz’s side ranks 34th among the 48 competing nations on Opta’s rankings with Egypt ranked 27th, Algeria ranked 31st with Cote D’Ivoire,Tunisia and South Africa 35th, 36th and 37th respectively.

David Brooks of Wales attempts to shoot despite the attentions of Gideon Mensah (l) and Jerome Opoku of Ghana during the international friendly match between Wales and Ghana (Photo by Ryan Hiscott/Getty Images)

On the other hand, Spain leads the chart with a 16% chance of winning the title while 2018 Champions and 2022 Finalists France hold a 13% title winning chance and defending champions Argentina rounded up the top three spots by holding an 11.2% chance of retaining the title.

Photo Courtesy: Opta
Photo Courtesy: Opta
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